Module 2: Strategic Foresight

Slide 1: Title Slide

Learn the discipline of Strategic Foresight to move beyond mere prediction.
Utilize frameworks like the "Cone of Plausibility" to explore a range of possible futures.
Understand how foresight enables adaptive leadership and mitigates emerging risks.

Strategic Foresight: A discipline for anticipating and preparing for a range of plausible futures, not just predicting one.
The Cone of Plausibility: A key visual framework distinguishing between Probable, Plausible, and Possible futures.
- Focus on Plausible Futures to explore disruptions and opportunities.
10 Principles of Foresight (CIFS): Guiding tenets for effective future scanning (e.g., challenging information, embracing uncertainty).
From Weak Signal to Crisis: History shows that many major disruptions were once identifiable "weak signals." Foresight helps detect them early.

Embrace Uncertainty: The future is not predetermined; it's a landscape of possibilities.
Scan for Weak Signals: Small, emerging trends can indicate massive future shifts.
Think in Scenarios: Develop multiple plausible futures to build organizational resilience.
Foresight as Risk Mitigation: Proactively identify and prepare for emerging challenges.

Foresight is the strategic discipline that cultivates the agility needed to thrive in an unpredictable world.

How do we translate future insights into innovative, human-centered AI products?
What design principles guide responsible AI development?